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五中全會的謠言呢？川普會下令攻打中國？美國軍情司會拒絕非法命令！拜登丑聞是怎麼偽造的？卡爾森的郵包找到了；年輕人這次不要哭泣！丨點點今天事（20... https://youtu.be/2E-Ay5p8xtA
Friday, October 30, 2020
Source:
Danny Dougherty, Chad Day. Mail Balloting Is Fueling Historic Early Voting in the 2020 Election. Updated Oct. 29, 2020 4:02 pm ET.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/mail-balloting-is-fueling-historic-early-voting-in-the-2020-election-11602591220?mod=hp_theme_election-2020-ribbon
Note:
Many states have already received more early ballots than they did in the 2016 presidential election in total. Several have topped 2016 numbers for mail ballots returned, even as in-person early voting is opening up in much of the country. Nationwide, early voting for the general election has already surpassed four years ago when 58.8 million people cast early or mail-in ballots.
Source: Associated Press
Virginia, one of the first states to open early in-person voting sites, topped 2016 levels for both categories of advance voting in the first week it reported numbers.
In the presidential battlegrounds of North Carolina and Florida, registered Democrats have cast more ballots than registered Republicans so far. In North Carolina, independent voters have also cast more early ballots than registered Republicans.
In Georgia, a record number of voters turned out on Oct. 12, the first day of early, in-person voting there. That day, voters reported waiting in line for hours in some locations.
Several battleground states are already seeing large numbers of requests for mail ballots. This could make for a long election night in states that prohibit the counting or processing of ballots before election day.
In Michigan, Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson has said she expects 3 million of the state’s estimated 5 million-5.5 million voters to vote early. Because Michigan doesn’t begin tabulating mail ballots until 7 a.m. on Election Day, Ms. Benson said that her office projects that results could be announced as late as the following Friday.
Early Voting by State
Source: Associated Press, the states
In Pennsylvania, more early ballots have been cast than in either the 2016 or 2018 general elections.
Early Ballots in Pennsylvania
Source: Associated Press
And in Wisconsin, which starts counting on Election Day, polling places for early voting open Tuesday but already the state is nearing its 2016 early vote total due to a flood of mail-in ballots.
Both parties are still wrangling in courts over election rules that could determine whether thousands of ballots, if not more, are counted as valid or tossed out. Legal battles are ongoing in North Carolina, Pennsylvania and elsewhere.
State early voting as a share of all registered voters in 2016
Source: Associated Press
Source:
Danny Dougherty, Chad Day. Mail Balloting Is Fueling Historic Early Voting in the 2020 Election. Updated Oct. 29, 2020 4:02 pm ET.
https://www.wsj.com/articles/mail-balloting-is-fueling-historic-early-voting-in-the-2020-election-11602591220?mod=hp_theme_election-2020-ribbon
Note:
Many states have already received more early ballots than they did in the 2016 presidential election in total. Several have topped 2016 numbers for mail ballots returned, even as in-person early voting is opening up in much of the country. Nationwide, early voting for the general election has already surpassed four years ago when 58.8 million people cast early or mail-in ballots.
Source: Associated Press
Virginia, one of the first states to open early in-person voting sites, topped 2016 levels for both categories of advance voting in the first week it reported numbers.
In the presidential battlegrounds of North Carolina and Florida, registered Democrats have cast more ballots than registered Republicans so far. In North Carolina, independent voters have also cast more early ballots than registered Republicans.
In Georgia, a record number of voters turned out on Oct. 12, the first day of early, in-person voting there. That day, voters reported waiting in line for hours in some locations.
Several battleground states are already seeing large numbers of requests for mail ballots. This could make for a long election night in states that prohibit the counting or processing of ballots before election day.
In Michigan, Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson has said she expects 3 million of the state’s estimated 5 million-5.5 million voters to vote early. Because Michigan doesn’t begin tabulating mail ballots until 7 a.m. on Election Day, Ms. Benson said that her office projects that results could be announced as late as the following Friday.
Early Voting by State
Source: Associated Press, the states
In Pennsylvania, more early ballots have been cast than in either the 2016 or 2018 general elections.
Early Ballots in Pennsylvania
Source: Associated Press
And in Wisconsin, which starts counting on Election Day, polling places for early voting open Tuesday but already the state is nearing its 2016 early vote total due to a flood of mail-in ballots.
Both parties are still wrangling in courts over election rules that could determine whether thousands of ballots, if not more, are counted as valid or tossed out. Legal battles are ongoing in North Carolina, Pennsylvania and elsewhere.
State early voting as a share of all registered voters in 2016
Source: Associated Press
Tuesday, October 27, 2020
Source:
20201026-冯胜平-何频-今夜很政经-拜登与中国到底什么关系？与习近平私交又如何？美国会大乱吗？川普真会输？
https://youtu.be/lGFTwhdIzwo
Note:
馮先生說自己是抽離開來看問題，居於中美之外來看中美，他說中美之間是相互理解的問題，除了政治制度，美國已經很大改變中國，經濟，文化等，尤其中國的民心，各個階層都沒有共產主義之心，但美國還想進一步改變中國的政治制度，觸碰了共產黨的底線，因此美國的問題是傳教士的問題，而中國問題的是暴發戶，窮時怕挨打，富時想打人，中國在經濟和抗疫方面成績不錯，中美應該更多合作，美國現在出現問題，信心下跌，比如在抗疫方面，再加上選舉壓力，美國鷹派對中國施加壓力，中美緊張，中國失去信心，反而激發國內問題，比如香港國安法問題加劇，
筆者似乎感觉馮先生所討論的中美，更多是指兩國政府，尤其中方更多是以共產黨為討論標的，共產黨事實上是中國最強的力量，這樣展開邏輯也是合理，但如果從民心出發，又該怎麼評價中國的成績？另外，美國真的想改變中國的政治制度，達成三權分立嗎，或者這是美國某些人的想法嗎，為什麼要這麼做呢，為了政治信念，對美國有什麼好處？
Source:
20201026-冯胜平-何频-今夜很政经-拜登与中国到底什么关系？与习近平私交又如何？美国会大乱吗？川普真会输？
https://youtu.be/lGFTwhdIzwo
Note:
馮先生說自己是抽離開來看問題，居於中美之外來看中美，他說中美之間是相互理解的問題，除了政治制度，美國已經很大改變中國，經濟，文化等，尤其中國的民心，各個階層都沒有共產主義之心，但美國還想進一步改變中國的政治制度，觸碰了共產黨的底線，因此美國的問題是傳教士的問題，而中國問題的是暴發戶，窮時怕挨打，富時想打人，中國在經濟和抗疫方面成績不錯，中美應該更多合作，美國現在出現問題，信心下跌，比如在抗疫方面，再加上選舉壓力，美國鷹派對中國施加壓力，中美緊張，中國失去信心，反而激發國內問題，比如香港國安法問題加劇，
筆者似乎感觉馮先生所討論的中美，更多是指兩國政府，尤其中方更多是以共產黨為討論標的，共產黨事實上是中國最強的力量，這樣展開邏輯也是合理，但如果從民心出發，又該怎麼評價中國的成績？另外，美國真的想改變中國的政治制度，達成三權分立嗎，或者這是美國某些人的想法嗎，為什麼要這麼做呢，為了政治信念，對美國有什麼好處？
Friday, October 30, 2020
Source:
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/10/22/voter-turnout-2020-ranking-us-presidential-elections/6006793002/
Note:
With one week until Election Day, more than 80 million have already voted, more than half of the total votes counted in the 2016 general election.
More than 257 million people in the U.S. are 18 or older, and nearly 240 million citizens are eligible to vote this year, according to Michael McDonald, a professor at the University of Florida who runs the U.S. Elections Project. Eligible voters include people living overseas but not non-citizens or people convicted of a felony, depending on state law.
It's possible that 85 million people could vote before Nov. 3, with 150 million voting in total, according to McDonald. That would mean an eligible voter turnout rate of more than 62%.
All presidential elections in the last 50 years, ranked by highest eligible voter turnout rate
2008: Barack Obama v John McCain (61.65%)
2016: Donald Trump v Hillary Clinton (60.1%)
2004: George W. Bush v John Kerry (60.1%)
2012: Barack Obama v Mitt Romney (58.6%)
1992: Bill Clinton v George W. H. Bush (58.1%)
1972: Richard Nixon v George McGovern (56.2%)
1984: Ronald Reagan v Walter Mondale (55.2%)
1976: Jimmy Carter v Gerald Ford (54.8%)
1980: Ronald Reagan v Jimmy Carter (54.2%)
2000: George W. Bush v Al Gore (54.2%)
1988: George H. W. Bush v Michael Dukakis (52.8%)
1996: Bill Clinton v Bob Dole (51.7%)
Source:
https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2020/10/22/voter-turnout-2020-ranking-us-presidential-elections/6006793002/
Note:
With one week until Election Day, more than 80 million have already voted, more than half of the total votes counted in the 2016 general election.
More than 257 million people in the U.S. are 18 or older, and nearly 240 million citizens are eligible to vote this year, according to Michael McDonald, a professor at the University of Florida who runs the U.S. Elections Project. Eligible voters include people living overseas but not non-citizens or people convicted of a felony, depending on state law.
It's possible that 85 million people could vote before Nov. 3, with 150 million voting in total, according to McDonald. That would mean an eligible voter turnout rate of more than 62%.
All presidential elections in the last 50 years, ranked by highest eligible voter turnout rate
2008: Barack Obama v John McCain (61.65%)
2016: Donald Trump v Hillary Clinton (60.1%)
2004: George W. Bush v John Kerry (60.1%)
2012: Barack Obama v Mitt Romney (58.6%)
1992: Bill Clinton v George W. H. Bush (58.1%)
1972: Richard Nixon v George McGovern (56.2%)
1984: Ronald Reagan v Walter Mondale (55.2%)
1976: Jimmy Carter v Gerald Ford (54.8%)
1980: Ronald Reagan v Jimmy Carter (54.2%)
2000: George W. Bush v Al Gore (54.2%)
1988: George H. W. Bush v Michael Dukakis (52.8%)
1996: Bill Clinton v Bob Dole (51.7%)
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播放时间：2020年10月29日8:45pm（美东）10月30日8:45am（北京）
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首播地址：https://youtu.be/yUIEK3ZaGVY
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https://youtu.be/sqxfHBAY5iI
https://youtu.be/sqxfHBAY5iI
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https://youtu.be/noJZbZoR0yQ
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世上最大風險：川普離開白宮前1860小時；拜登丑聞機密丟了？大選造假的機率； FBl長時間圍捕獵手，譴返中國的條件，和統會犧牲丨點點今天事（20201029）
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youtu.be/X9oWJD5SQy4
youtu.be/X9oWJD5SQy4
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播放时间：2020年10月28日8:45pm（美东）10月29日8:45am（北京）
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播放时间：2020年10月28日8:45pm（美东）10月29日8:45am（北京）
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中国经济有可能面临一个災难性的寒冬，粮食短缺、失业暴增，都蕴含着非常大的社会和政治动荡的风险。习近平此时的任何轻举妄动，都可能意味着政治自杀。这意味着，拜登若当选，会给习近平稳住阵脚提供一个非常宝贵的机会，习近平不可能看不到这一点。
中国经济有可能面临一个災难性的寒冬，粮食短缺、失业暴增，都蕴含着非常大的社会和政治动荡的风险。习近平此时的任何轻举妄动，都可能意味着政治自杀。这意味着，拜登若当选，会给习近平稳住阵脚提供一个非常宝贵的机会，习近平不可能看不到这一点。
最新节目：https://youtu.be/4_Wjv4cmihE
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播放时间：2020年10月28日9：00am（美东）
2020年10月28日9：00pm（北京）